Sports wagering can be very profitable if a person know the tricks this “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make funds. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a excellent instance. I analyzed typically the West Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West California had the edge in the video game. Yet , My partner and i also recognized that there was a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not gamble on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:
West California vs . Louisville
This game offers all the symptoms of being one connected with the greatest games of the year, having the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western side Virginia coming again from staying down major in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning in overtime.
So what’s the overall game seem like this year?
If this activity were appearing played at the neutral field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they misplaced to Las vegas Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 PATH games.
These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s online game. Plus, often the added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that special point will make the big difference between a good push together with a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s figures may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home video games.
In www.ufabet168.info to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since January 20, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. four points every game in your house, while hitting only letting go of 15. 6 points per game from home. In case anyone didn’t do the figures, that means since their last home decline they have already averaged beating their very own adversaries by means of about thirty four points per game.
Furthermore outstanding, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the divide, on average, by 13 things per online game at home considering 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s the way…
Many of those stats had been accumulated during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They’ve got recent games that has they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. Many people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
In essence that will this is still a good close activity to phone. But the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off that game and definitely not guarantee at all. There are usually better video games this weekend with more clear-cut positive aspects.
The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for a good TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big they will could very well still win immediately after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular video game, people severe regarding wagering saved money these people can offer better employ on future games.