Sports betting are often very profitable if you know the strategies the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a excellent example of this. www.ufabet168.bet and i analyzed the West Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Va had often the edge in the match. However , My partner and i also realized that there were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This video game features all the indications of being one involving the greatest games associated with the year, along with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming rear from becoming down big in the final quarter to winning inside overtime, however,.
So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?
In case this sport were being played at some sort of basic field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 PATH games.
These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, the included added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like much, but in a close up match-up this way, that spare point will certainly make the big difference between the push and a loss.
But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home video games.
In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in the home since January 16, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game at home, while hitting only quitting 15. 8 points for each game in home. In case you did not do the figures, that means given that their particular last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating his or her oppositions by about thirty four things per game.
Even greater outstanding, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, by means of 13 details per video game at home considering the year 2003.
Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Almost all of those stats were piled up during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They have already acquired recent games through which they are yet to only scored 28, 3, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. That they had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The bottom line is the fact that this is still a new close game to call up. Nonetheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this game and certainly not guarantee at all. There happen to be better game titles this weekend break with more simple positive aspects.
The final score of the game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s border weren’t so big that they could very well still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this video game, people severe concerning wagering saved money they will can put to better employ on coming games.