Sports betting can be very profitable if a person know the secrets the particular “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that smart money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. We analyzed typically the Rest of the world Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Va had the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , www.phonedoctor.com noticed that there initially were a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this kind of game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:
West Va versus Louisville
This activity features all the indications of being one involving the very best games of the year, with the two teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with West Virginia coming back again from being down big in the final 1 fourth to winning in overtime.
So what’s the game seem like this year?
In the event that this sport were as played from a fairly neutral field, West Va would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to Virginia Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.
These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular extra reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like substantially, but in a near match-up similar to this, that more point might make the change between a good push in addition to a loss.
But some of us wonder what about Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home games.
Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since 12 17, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. five points per game at your home, while hitting only quitting 15. six points per game from home. In case anyone failed to do the mathematics, that means considering their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their particular opponents by simply about thirty four items per game.
Even greater outstanding, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by way of 13 factors per video game at home given that the year 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
Here’s just how…
Almost all of those stats were piled up during the 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They also have possessed recent games that has they have already only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
Basically that will this is still some sort of close video game to contact. Although what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off this particular game and not gamble at all. There usually are better video games this weekend break with more simple strengths.
The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for the TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s border weren’t so big they may still win after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this video game, people critical concerning gambling saved money these people can offer better apply on future games.